Table of Content


1 INTRODUCTION 10
1.1 COVID-19 HEALTH ASSESSMENT 10
1.2 COVID-19 ECONOMIC ASSESSMENT 12
1.2.1 COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE ECONOMY SCENARIO ASSESSMENT 13

2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 16
2.1 RESEARCH DATA 16
2.2 RESEARCH ASSUMPTIONS 17
2.3 RESEARCH LIMITATION 18
2.4 SCENARIO BASED MODELING 18
2.5 BREAKDOWN OF PRIMARY INTERVIEWS 19
2.6 EXCLUSION 19
2.7 STAKEHOLDERS 20

3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 21

4 COVID-19 IMPACT FOOD SAFETY TESTING ECOSYSTEM 26
4.1 INTRODUCTION 26
4.2 IMPACT ON VALUE CHAIN 27
4.2.1 TESTING EQUIPMENT & CONSUMABLES SUPPLIERS 27
4.2.2 LABORATORIES 28
4.2.3 FOOD MANUFACTURERS/GROWERS 28
4.2.4 DISTRIBUTORS/RETAIL CHANNELS 29
4.3 MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS 29
4.3.1 DRIVERS 29
4.3.1.1 Growing number of foodborne illnesses 29
4.3.1.2 Globalization of food trade 31
4.3.1.3 Stringent food safety regulations 32
4.3.2 RESTRAINTS 32
4.3.2.1 Lack of food control infrastructure & resources in developing countries 32
4.3.2.2 Heavy-duty on test kits 33
_

5 CUSTOMER ANALYSIS 34
5.1 INTRODUCTION 34
5.2 ADOPTION OF TESTING TECHNOLOGIES 34
5.2.1 DEMAND FOR RAPID TEST KITS 34
5.2.1.1 DNA-based test kits for pathogen testing 35
5.2.2 MULTI-CONTAMINANT ANALYZING TECHNOLOGY 35
5.2.2.1 New market opportunities/growth opportunities 36
5.3 CONSUMER SHIFT 36
5.3.1 ALLERGEN TESTING 40
5.3.2 CONFORMATION ON FOOD AUTHENTICITY 40
5.3.3 NEW MARKET OPPORTUNITIES/GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES 41

6 IMPACT ON RELATED MARKETS 42
6.1 INTRODUCTION 42
6.2 MOST ATTRACTIVE MARKET – IMPACT & OPPORTUNITIES 43
6.2.1 FREE-FROM FOOD TESTING 43
6.2.2 NUTRITIONAL ANALYSIS 43
6.2.3 REAL-TIME PCR TECHNOLOGY 43
6.3 WORST-AFFECTED MARKET – IMPACT & OPPORTUNITIES 44
6.3.1 CULTURE-BASED TECHNOLOGIES 44
6.3.2 MEAT & SEAFOOD TESTING 44

7 CUSTOMER GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES IN THE FOOD SAFETY TESTING MARKET 46
7.1 IMPACT ON FOOD SAFETY TESTING COMPANIES PORTFOLIO 46
7.1.1 PRODUCTS & SERVICES 46
7.1.2 GEOGRAPHICAL 46
7.2 WINNING STRATEGIES TO GAIN MARKET SHARE 47
7.2.1 SHORT-TERM STRATEGIES 47
7.2.2 MID-TERM STRATEGIES 47
7.2.3 LONG-TERM STRATEGIES 49

8 COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE FOOD SAFETY TESTING SYSTEM 50
8.1 TESTING TECHNOLOGIES 50
8.1.1 DNA-BASED 51
8.1.2 IMMUNOASSAY-BASED 52
8.1.3 CHROMATOGRAPHY- & SPECTROSCOPY-BASED 54
8.2 TARGETS TESTED 57
8.2.1 ALLERGEN 58
8.2.2 MYCOTOXIN 59
8.2.3 PATHOGEN 61
8.2.4 GMOS 62
_
8.3 GEOGRAPHY 63
8.3.1 INTRODUCTION 63
8.3.1.1 MnM viewpoint 63
8.3.1.2 Forecast for 2020-2021 63
8.3.1.2.1 Pessimistic scenario 63
8.3.1.2.2 Realistic scenario 64
8.3.1.2.3 Optimistic scenario 64
8.3.2 NORTH AMERICA 64
8.3.2.1 MnM viewpoint 65
8.3.2.2 Forecast for 2020-2021 65
8.3.2.2.1 Pessimistic scenario 65
8.3.2.2.2 Realistic scenario 66
8.3.2.2.3 Optimistic scenario 67
8.3.3 EUROPE 67
8.3.3.1 MnM viewpoint 68
8.3.3.2 Forecast for 2020-2021 69
8.3.3.2.1 Pessimistic scenario 69
8.3.3.2.2 Realistic scenario 69
8.3.3.2.3 Optimistic scenario 70
8.3.4 ASIA PACIFIC 71
8.3.4.1 MnM viewpoint 71
8.3.4.2 Forecast for 2020-2021 72
8.3.4.2.1 Pessimistic scenario 72
8.3.4.2.2 Realistic scenario 73
8.3.4.2.3 Optimistic scenario 74
8.3.5 REST OF THE WORLD 74
8.3.5.1 MnM viewpoint 75
8.3.5.2 Forecast for 2020-2021 75
8.3.5.2.1 Pessimistic scenario 75
8.3.5.2.2 Realistic scenario 75
8.3.5.2.3 Optimistic scenario 76
_

9 COVID-19 FOCUSED PROFILES OF KEY VENDORS 77
(Company overview, Services offered & MnM View)*
9.1 EUROFINS 77
9.2 SGS 78
9.3 INTERTEK 79
9.4 BUREAU VERITAS 80
9.5 T?V S?D 81
*Details on Company overview, Services offered & MnM View might not be captured in case of unlisted companies.

10 APPENDIX 82
10.1 KEY INSIGHTS BY INDUSTRY EXPERTS 82
10.2 DISCUSSION GUIDE 83
10.4 AUTHOR DETAILS 87



List of Figures




FIGURE 1 COVID-19 THE GLOBAL PROPAGATION 10
FIGURE 2 COVID-19 PROPAGATION: SELECT COUNTRIES 11
FIGURE 3 COUNTRIES BEGIN WITH SIMILAR TRAJECTORIES BUT CURVES DEVIATE BASED
ON MEASURES TAKEN 11
FIGURE 4 REVISED GDP FORECASTS FOR SELECT G20 COUNTRIES IN 2020 12
FIGURE 5 CRITERIA IMPACTING THE GLOBAL ECONOMY 13
FIGURE 6 SCENARIOS IN TERMS OF RECOVERY OF THE GLOBAL ECONOMY 14
FIGURE 7 IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON FOOD SAFETY TESTING MARKET: RESEARCH DESIGN 16
FIGURE 8 BREAKDOWN OF PRIMARY INTERVIEWS: BY VALUE CHAIN, DESIGNATION AND REGION 19
FIGURE 9 SCENARIO-BASED MODELLING: COVID-19 IMPACT ON GLOBAL FOOD SAFETY TESTING MARKET, 2018-2021 (USD MILLION) 21
FIGURE 10 ATTRACTIVE OPPORTUNITIES DUE TO COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE FOOD SAFETY TESTING MARKET (REALISTIC SCENARIO) 22
FIGURE 11 FOOD SAFETY TESTING MARKET SNAPSHOT, BY TARGETS TESTED 2018 VS. 2021 (REALISTIC SCENARIO) 22
FIGURE 12 FOOD SAFETY TESTING MARKET SNAPSHOT, BY TARGETS TESTED AND REGIONS, 2020 (REALISTIC SCENARIO) 23
FIGURE 13 FOOD SAFETY TESTING MARKET SNAPSHOT, BY TECHNOLOGY AND TARGETS TESTED, 2020 (REALISTIC SCENARIO) 24
FIGURE 14 FOOD SAFETY TESTING MARKET SHARE & GROWTH, BY REGION 2020 (REALISTIC SCENARIO) 25
FIGURE 15 VALUE CHAIN OF FOOD SAFETY TESTING INDUSTRY 27
FIGURE 16 GLOBAL AGRI-FOOD EXPORT, 2016-2018 (USD BILLION) 31
FIGURE 17 CONSUMER CHECKS FOR LABEL AND NUTRITIONAL INFORMATION PANEL (NIP)
ON FOOD PRODUCTS (% OF CONSUMERS) 41
FIGURE 18 COVID IMPACT AND DISRUPTION IN THE FOOD & BEVERAGE SECTOR 42
FIGURE 19 FAO FOOD PRICE INDEX FOR MEAT, 2019-2020 45
FIGURE 20 IMPACT SCENARIO: SUBSECTORS OF THE FOOD TESTING INDUSTRY 47
FIGURE 21 COVID-19 IMPACT ON FOOD SAFETY TESTING MARKET, BY TECHNOLOGY, 2020 50
FIGURE 22 COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE FOOD SAFETY TESTING MARKET BY TARGETS TESTED AND TECHNOLOGY, 2020 57
FIGURE 23 NORTH AMERICA MARKET SNAPSHOT FOR COVID-19 IMPACT ON FOOD SAFETY TESTING, 2020 66
FIGURE 24 BORDER REJECTION CASES AGAINST CONTAMINATED FOODS IN EUROPE 2018–2019 68
FIGURE 25 EUROPEAN MARKET SNAPSHOT FOR COVID-19 IMPACT ON FOOD SAFETY
TESTING, 2020 69
FIGURE 26 INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES IN INDIA , 2019 72
FIGURE 27 ASIA PACIFIC MARKET SNAPSHOT FOR COVID-19 IMPACT ON FOOD SAFETY TESTING, 2020 73

 

List of Tables




TABLE 1 FOODBORNE OUTBREAKS IN THE US, 2017-2020 30
TABLE 2 FOOD RECALLS IN THE US, 2020 37
TABLE 3 FOOD PRODUCTS FROM THE US BANNED IN OTHER COUNTRIES 48
TABLE 4 COVID-19 IMPACT ON FOOD SAFETY TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY TECHNOLOGY, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 50
TABLE 5 DNA-BASED: COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE FOOD SAFETY TESTING MARKET SIZE BY REGION, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 51
TABLE 6 DNA-BASED: COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE ALLERGEN TESTING MARKET SIZE BY REGION, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 51
TABLE 7 DNA-BASED: COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE PATHOGEN TESTING MARKET SIZE BY REGION, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 52
TABLE 8 DNA-BASED: COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE GMO TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 52
TABLE 9 IMMUNOASSAY-BASED: COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE FOOD SAFETY TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 53
TABLE 10 IMMUNOASSAY-BASED: COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE ALLERGEN TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 53
TABLE 11 IMMUNOASSAY-BASED: COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE MYCOTOXIN TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 53
TABLE 12 IMMUNOASSAY-BASED: COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE PATHOGEN TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 54
TABLE 13 IMMUNOASSAY-BASED: COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE GMO TESTING MARKET SIZE BY REGION, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 54
TABLE 14 CHROMATOGRAPHY- & SPECTROSCOPY-BASED: COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE FOOD SAFETY TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 55
TABLE 15 CHROMATOGRAPHY- & SPECTROSCOPY-BASED: COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE ALLERGEN TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 55
TABLE 16 CHROMATOGRAPHY- & SPECTROSCOPY-BASED: COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE MYCOTOXIN TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 56
TABLE 17 CHROMATOGRAPHY- & SPECTROSCOPY-BASED: COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE PATHOGEN TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 56
TABLE 18 CHROMATOGRAPHY- & SPECTROSCOPY-BASED: COVID-19 IMPACT ON
THE GMO TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 56
TABLE 19 COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE FOOD SAFETY TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY TARGETS TESTED, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 57
TABLE 20 COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE ALLERGEN TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY REGION 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 58
TABLE 21 COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE ALLERGEN TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY TECHNOLOGY, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 58
TABLE 22 FDA ACTION LEVELS FOR AFLATOXINS 59
TABLE 23 AVERAGE CONCENTRATIONS FOR OCHRATOXIN A IN DIFFERENT FOOD PRODUCTS 60
TABLE 24 COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE MYCOTOXIN TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY REGION 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 60
TABLE 25 COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE MYCOTOXIN TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY TECHNOLOGY, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 60
TABLE 26 COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE PATHOGEN TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY REGION 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 61
TABLE 27 COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE PATHOGEN TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY TECHNOLOGY, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 61
TABLE 28 COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE GMO TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY REGION 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 62
TABLE 29 COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE GMO TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY TECHNOLOGY 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 62
TABLE 30 GLOBAL PESSIMISTIC SCENARIO: COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE FOOD SAFETY TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 63
TABLE 31 GLOBAL REALISTIC SCENARIO: COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE FOOD SAFETY TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 64
TABLE 32 GLOBAL OPTIMISTIC SCENARIO: COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE FOOD SAFETY TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY REGION, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 64
TABLE 33 FOODBORNE DISEASE OUTBREAK IN THE US, 2019 65
TABLE 34 NORTH AMERICA PESSIMISTIC SCENARIO: COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE FOOD SAFETY TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY TARGETS TESTED, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 65
TABLE 35 NORTH AMERICA REALISTIC SCENARIO: COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE FOOD SAFETY TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY TARGETS TESTED, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 66
TABLE 36 NORTH AMERICA REALISTIC SCENARIO: COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE FOOD SAFETY TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY TECHNOLOGY, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 67
TABLE 37 NORTH AMERICA OPTIMISTIC SCENARIO: COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE FOOD SAFETY TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY TARGETS TESTED, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 67
TABLE 38 EUROPE PESSIMISTIC SCENARIO: COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE FOOD SAFETY TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY TARGETS TESTED, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 69
TABLE 39 EUROPE REALISTIC SCENARIO: COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE FOOD SAFETY TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY TARGETS TESTED, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 70
TABLE 40 EUROPE REALISTIC SCENARIO: COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE FOOD SAFETY TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY TECHNOLOGY, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 70
TABLE 41 EUROPE OPTIMISTIC SCENARIO: COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE FOOD SAFETY TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY TARGETS TESTED, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 70
TABLE 42 ASIA PACIFIC PESSIMISTIC SCENARIO: COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE FOOD SAFETY TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY TARGETS TESTED, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 72
TABLE 43 ASIA PACIFIC REALISTIC SCENARIO: COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE FOOD SAFETY TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY TARGETS TESTED, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 73
TABLE 44 ASIA PACIFIC REALISTIC SCENARIO: COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE FOOD SAFETY TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY TECHNOLOGY, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 74
TABLE 45 ASIA PACIFIC OPTIMISTIC SCENARIO: COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE FOOD SAFETY TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY TARGETS TESTED, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 74
TABLE 46 ROW PESSIMISTIC SCENARIO: COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE FOOD SAFETY TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY TARGETS TESTED, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 75
TABLE 47 ROW REALISTIC SCENARIO: COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE FOOD SAFETY TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY TARGETS TESTED, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 75
TABLE 48 ROW REALISTIC SCENARIO: COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE FOOD SAFETY TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY TECHNOLOGY, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 76
TABLE 49 ROW OPTIMISTIC SCENARIO: COVID-19 IMPACT ON THE FOOD SAFETY TESTING MARKET SIZE, BY TARGETS TESTED, 2018–2021 (USD MILLION) 76